Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.568820 0.630845 0.697853 0.775795 0.864173 0.961512 1.077166
2025-08-10 0.472580 0.558541 0.658636 0.784537 0.939695 1.125976 1.368542
2025-08-17 0.405778 0.499713 0.614573 0.766764 0.965232 1.218187 1.569707
2025-08-24 0.369215 0.470188 0.598712 0.776557 1.019838 1.346251 1.826414
2025-08-31 0.335486 0.439211 0.575709 0.771594 1.050669 1.442049 2.047199
2025-09-07 0.310956 0.417209 0.561251 0.774863 1.090680 1.552040 2.299444
2025-09-14 0.285735 0.391523 0.538653 0.763163 1.106066 1.625478 2.502960
2025-09-21 0.265317 0.370597 0.520498 0.755352 1.125097 1.704608 2.723542
2025-09-28 0.241729 0.343108 0.490319 0.726151 1.107138 1.722007 2.841254
2025-10-05 0.232577 0.336072 0.489698 0.742059 1.161864 1.862487 3.190082
2025-10-12 0.223385 0.328166 0.486908 0.753857 1.210347 1.996863 3.545875
2025-10-19 0.213602 0.318571 0.480604 0.759051 1.247581 2.114860 3.886671
2025-10-26 0.203655 0.308233 0.472638 0.761233 1.280585 2.230499 4.244143
2025-11-02 0.195524 0.300253 0.467905 0.768506 1.323432 2.369544 4.672558
2025-11-09 0.183435 0.285030 0.450080 0.751201 1.318895 2.416278 4.910058
2025-11-16 0.177278 0.279168 0.447498 0.760759 1.365790 2.569862 5.409624
2025-11-23 0.169116 0.269416 0.437549 0.755915 1.384007 2.666584 5.793689
2025-11-30 0.162926 0.262617 0.432219 0.759106 1.418237 2.800551 6.289908
2025-12-07 0.154892 0.252166 0.419753 0.747685 1.421456 2.867471 6.630138
2025-12-14 0.148017 0.243357 0.409673 0.740059 1.431734 2.951061 7.028235
2025-12-21 0.138583 0.229541 0.389714 0.711549 1.395017 2.923250 7.122995
2025-12-28 0.135975 0.227775 0.391766 0.727081 1.455002 3.128052 7.899703
2026-01-04 0.132947 0.225068 0.391868 0.738600 1.507185 3.320855 8.682702